February 5, 2026

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Someone made big money betting on Maduro. What are prediction markets, and is it time they had tighter rules?

Someone made big money betting on Maduro. What are prediction markets, and is it time they had tighter rules?

A man stands surrounded by soldiers and DEA agents

The huge sums of money swapped over the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro have reignited questions about prediction markets — platforms that allow users to make yes/no wagers on nearly any kind of event, and which have shot from small startups to major companies in recent years.

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